IdentifyPast Due

Proactive Internal Audit Proof of Concept - Phase 3

ID: 2035778-50

Potential Value

$5,000,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

113

Client & Account

Client

Zeta Energy Consortium

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Organization & People

Opportunity Sub-SL

Organization & People

Competency

HR Transformation

Global Service Code

Asset Recovery (63713)

People & Dates

Partner

Lopez Miguel

Pursuit Leader

Edwards Judith

Open Date

Jan 20, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Proactive Internal Audit Proof of Concept - Phase 3

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

22.2%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$139,353

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.557
Service sub-line track record
-0.544
Deal size (log scale)
-0.406

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

22.2%

Model A: Planning

12.6%

Model B: Early Signal

3.4%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

12.6%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-1.355
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.275
Deal age (days since open)
-0.683

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (13%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

3.4%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.938
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.762
Deal size
-0.476

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (3%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size.