Identify30-60 Days

Critical Data Analytics Modernization - Phase 2

ID: 9719153-40

Potential Value

$4,000,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

30%

Days in Pipeline

639

Client & Account

Client

Zeta Energy Consortium

City

Tokyo

Region

Former Area Mgmt

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Organization & People

Opportunity Sub-SL

Organization & People

Competency

HR Transformation

Global Service Code

Asset Recovery (63713)

People & Dates

Partner

Lopez Miguel

Pursuit Leader

Robinson Patricia

Open Date

Aug 12, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

May 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Critical Data Analytics Modernization - Phase 2

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

21.4%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$619,263

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.561
Work type
+0.556
US Federal business unit
-0.358

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

21.4%

Model A: Planning

72.3%

Model B: Early Signal

27.1%

Stated Probability

30%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

72.3%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.393
Time in current pipeline stage
-0.996
Service sub-line track record
-0.931

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (72%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, service sub-line track record.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

27.1%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-1.039
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.970
Market segment
-0.415

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (27%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, market segment.