ClosingOver 90 Days

Core Technology Modernization Assessment

ID: 7416174-30

Potential Value

$30,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

100%

Days in Pipeline

251

Client & Account

Client

Spectrum Group

City

Philadelphia

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Assurance

Field of Play

Audit & Governance

Opportunity Sub-SL

Audit

Competency

Audit (CORE)

Global Service Code

Environmental Compliance (53941)

People & Dates

Partner

Bernard Kathleen

Pursuit Leader

Nelson Richard

Open Date

Sep 4, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Sep 3, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Core Technology Modernization Assessment

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

97.5%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$28,764

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.780
Non-recurring work
+0.749
Service sub-line track record
+0.427

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

97.5%

Model A: Planning

98.4%

Model B: Early Signal

93.2%

Stated Probability

100%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

98.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.355
Lead sales credit %
-0.852
Deal age (days since open)
-0.837

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (98%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: lead sales credit %, deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

93.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.690
Market segment
-0.634
Sub-sector track record
+0.585

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (93%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), sub-sector track record. Factors working against: market segment.