Identify30-60 Days

Intelligent Procurement Advisory

ID: 3910239-40

Potential Value

$4,000,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

30%

Days in Pipeline

639

Client & Account

Client

Zeta Energy Consortium

City

Tokyo

Region

Former Area Mgmt

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Process Reengineering (74403)

People & Dates

Partner

Lopez Miguel

Pursuit Leader

Robinson Patricia

Open Date

Aug 12, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

May 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Intelligent Procurement Advisory

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

26.5%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$946,991

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.583
Work type
+0.532
Consulting service line indicator
-0.253

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

26.5%

Model A: Planning

89.4%

Model B: Early Signal

58.7%

Stated Probability

30%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

89.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.142
Time in current pipeline stage
-1.070
Lead sales credit %
-0.821

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (89%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

58.7%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.005
Service sub-line track record
-0.420
Market segment
-0.341

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (59%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, market segment.