PursuePast Due

Adaptive Customer Experience Modernization - Extension

ID: 8259649-30

Potential Value

$1,800,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

287

Client & Account

Client

Pathfinder Financial Authority

City

Houston

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy and Execution

Competency

S&E - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Disaster Recovery (42200)

People & Dates

Partner

Turner Benjamin

Pursuit Leader

Cruz Beverly

Open Date

Jul 30, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 27, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Adaptive Customer Experience Modernization - Extension

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

95.9%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$1,703,602

Key Triage Drivers

Non-recurring work
+0.856
Work type
+0.746
Recurring/additional sale
+0.387

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

95.9%

Model A: Planning

98.7%

Model B: Early Signal

93.0%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

98.7%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.919
Lead sales credit %
-0.714
Recurring/additional sale
+0.705

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (99%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

93.0%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.196
Recurring/additional sale
+0.619
OpportunityType Additional Sales Opportunity
+0.590

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (93%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale, opportunitytype additional sales opportunity.