Regional Change Management Platform - Phase 3
ID: 3807536-30
Potential Value
$0
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
50%
Days in Pipeline
890
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Risk´
Competency
Integrated Risk Management
Global Service Code
Diversity Programs (52033)
Partner
Hughes Andrew
Pursuit Leader
Ortiz Amber
Open Date
Dec 5, 2023
Anticipated Win Date
Jun 30, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Regional Change Management Platform - Phase 3
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
31.7%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$0
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
31.7%
Model A: Planning
47.4%
Model B: Early Signal
20.8%
Stated Probability
50%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
47.4%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (47%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), market segment.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
20.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (21%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), currency (usd vs other), market segment.