Innovative Technology Modernization Phase I - FY25
ID: 7812312-20
Potential Value
$300,000
Deal Value
$3,639,793
Stated Probability
50%
Days in Pipeline
890
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Technology
Opportunity Sub-SL
Technology
Competency
Enterprise IT Transformation
Global Service Code
TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)
Partner
Hughes Andrew
Pursuit Leader
Ortiz Amber
Open Date
Dec 5, 2023
Anticipated Win Date
Jun 30, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Innovative Technology Modernization Phase I - FY25
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
26.5%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$48,946
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
26.5%
Model A: Planning
61.7%
Model B: Early Signal
12.9%
Stated Probability
50%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
61.7%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (62%). Factors working in favor: deal age (days since open). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
12.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (13%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.