Proactive Risk Management Scale-Up - Renewal
ID: 9075139-10
Potential Value
$250,000
Deal Value
$250,000
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
104
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Finance
Opportunity Sub-SL
Finance´
Competency
Finance Transformation, Strategy & Vision
Global Service Code
Policy Development (30982)
Partner
Jones Cynthia
Pursuit Leader
Taylor Rebecca
Open Date
Jan 29, 2026
Anticipated Win Date
Apr 30, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Proactive Risk Management Scale-Up - Renewal
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
45.4%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$44,359
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
45.4%
Model A: Planning
39.1%
Model B: Early Signal
11.3%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
39.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (39%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal age (days since open).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
11.3%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (11%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), currency (usd vs other).