Intelligent Data Analytics Analysis
ID: 3400017-40
Potential Value
$5,000,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
25%
Days in Pipeline
188
Client
Pathfinder Financial Authority
City
Houston
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
SaT
Field of Play
Strategy & Transformation
Opportunity Sub-SL
Strategy and Execution
Competency
S&E - Reimagine Reshape & Grow
Global Service Code
Disaster Recovery (42200)
Partner
Turner Benjamin
Pursuit Leader
Cruz Beverly
Open Date
Nov 6, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Jul 1, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Intelligent Data Analytics Analysis
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
92.0%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$4,525,575
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
92.0%
Model A: Planning
98.4%
Model B: Early Signal
88.5%
Stated Probability
25%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
98.4%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (98%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
88.5%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (89%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: deal size vs service line median.