Comprehensive Risk Management Workshop - Extension
ID: 1049577-10
Potential Value
$5,000,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
188
Client
Pathfinder Financial Authority
City
Houston
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
SaT
Field of Play
Strategy & Transformation
Opportunity Sub-SL
Strategy and Execution
Competency
S&E - Reimagine Reshape & Grow
Global Service Code
Disaster Recovery (42200)
Partner
Turner Benjamin
Pursuit Leader
Cruz Beverly
Open Date
Nov 6, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Oct 1, 2027
Close Date
N/A
Description
Comprehensive Risk Management Workshop - Extension
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
93.4%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$3,768,413
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
93.4%
Model A: Planning
80.7%
Model B: Early Signal
85.9%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
80.7%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (81%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
85.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (86%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: deal size vs service line median.