Global Talent Strategy Transformation - Extension
ID: 1481105-40
Potential Value
$1,900,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
25%
Days in Pipeline
113
Client
Legacy Pharmaceutical Agency
Account
Aqua Social Commission
City
San Francisco
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Organization & People
Opportunity Sub-SL
Organization & People
Competency
HR Transformation
Global Service Code
Supply Chain Optimization (87626)
Partner
Long Marilyn
Pursuit Leader
Martinez Jeffrey
Open Date
Jan 20, 2026
Anticipated Win Date
Aug 28, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Global Talent Strategy Transformation - Extension
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
51.9%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$116,274
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
51.9%
Model A: Planning
11.8%
Model B: Early Signal
4.7%
Stated Probability
25%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
11.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (12%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
4.7%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (5%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), market segment.