IdentifyOver 90 Days

Foundational Revenue Assurance Pilot

ID: 1131276-10

Potential Value

$5,400,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

75%

Days in Pipeline

104

Client & Account

Client

Gateway Regional Logistics

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Organization & People

Opportunity Sub-SL

Organization & People

Competency

Organization & Workforce Transformation

Global Service Code

Cost Reduction - Transformation (90354)

People & Dates

Partner

Mitchell Ryan

Pursuit Leader

Walker Doris

Open Date

Jan 29, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

Jul 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Foundational Revenue Assurance Pilot

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

93.3%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$4,796,870

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.798
Non-recurring work
+0.709
Recurring/additional sale
+0.377

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

93.3%

Model A: Planning

95.2%

Model B: Early Signal

90.7%

Stated Probability

75%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

95.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.779
Lead sales credit %
-0.835
Deal age (days since open)
-0.811

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (95%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: lead sales credit %, deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

90.7%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.037
Service sub-line track record
-0.735
Recurring/additional sale
+0.688

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (91%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: service sub-line track record.