PursuePast Due

Dynamic Cost Optimization Transformation (Revised)

ID: 9008999-50

Potential Value

$37,500

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

819

Client & Account

Client

Raven Healthcare Council

City

Atlanta

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Transactions & Corporate Finance

Competency

TCF - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Regulatory Compliance (61122)

People & Dates

Partner

Gray Maria

Pursuit Leader

Nakamura André

Open Date

Feb 14, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 3, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Dynamic Cost Optimization Transformation (Revised)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

92.8%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$33,673

Key Triage Drivers

Non-recurring work
+0.765
Work type
+0.760
Opportunity business unit
+0.354

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

92.8%

Model A: Planning

96.8%

Model B: Early Signal

92.6%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

96.8%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.579
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.118
Lead sales credit %
-0.726

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (97%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

92.6%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.835
Recurring/additional sale
+0.618
OpportunityType Additional Sales Opportunity
+0.510

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (93%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale, opportunitytype additional sales opportunity.