PursueOver 90 Days

Enterprise Finance Extension - Renewal

ID: 3313027-50

Potential Value

$1,500

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

75%

Days in Pipeline

232

Client & Account

Client

Lion Government Solutions

City

Washington

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Tax

Field of Play

Tax

Opportunity Sub-SL

BTS

Competency

BTS - BTA

Global Service Code

Outcome Measurement - Analytics (46082)

People & Dates

Partner

Walker Lars

Pursuit Leader

Robinson Christine

Open Date

Sep 23, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Jan 31, 2028

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Enterprise Finance Extension - Renewal

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

93.8%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$1,205

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.749
Service sub-line track record
+0.575
Opportunity business unit
+0.416

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

93.8%

Model A: Planning

85.7%

Model B: Early Signal

85.4%

Stated Probability

75%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

85.7%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.296
Deal age (days since open)
-1.212
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.873

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (86%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

85.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.606
Market segment
-0.577
Account business unit
-0.465

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (85%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: market segment, account business unit.