IdentifyPast Due

Holistic Finance Modernization

ID: 3526645-20

Potential Value

$150,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

107

Client & Account

Client

Zenith Logistics

City

Beirut

Region

MENA

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Risk

Opportunity Sub-SL

Risk´

Competency

Integrated Risk Management

Global Service Code

Diversity Programs (52033)

People & Dates

Partner

Jimenez Emma

Pursuit Leader

Bernard Joshua

Open Date

Jan 26, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

Feb 28, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Holistic Finance Modernization

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

55.4%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$19,568

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.629
Service sub-line track record
-0.430
Opportunity business unit
+0.237

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

55.4%

Model A: Planning

23.6%

Model B: Early Signal

10.4%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

23.6%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.990
Deal age (days since open)
-0.777
Lead sales credit %
-0.672

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (24%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

10.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.663
Currency (USD vs other)
-0.572
Sub-sector track record
-0.451

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (10%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), currency (usd vs other), sub-sector track record.