Core Governance Transformation
ID: 4069272-30
Potential Value
$2
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
124
Service Line
Tax
Field of Play
Organization & People
Opportunity Sub-SL
PAS - Tax
Competency
PAS - Reward and People Transactions
Global Service Code
Health & Safety Review (81624)
Partner
Johnson Evelyn
Pursuit Leader
Rivera Elizabeth
Open Date
Jan 9, 2026
Anticipated Win Date
Jan 21, 2027
Close Date
N/A
Description
Core Governance Transformation
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
82.5%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$1
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
82.5%
Model A: Planning
53.6%
Model B: Early Signal
39.7%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
53.6%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (54%). Factors working in favor: opportunity business unit. Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
39.7%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (40%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), sub-sector track record, lead sales credit %.