Identify30-60 Days

Modernized Quality Assurance Extension - Renewal

ID: 3796792-20

Potential Value

$400,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

30%

Days in Pipeline

89

Client & Account

Client

Zenith Logistics

City

Beirut

Region

MENA

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Finance

Opportunity Sub-SL

Finance´

Competency

Business Planning, Reporting & Analytics

Global Service Code

Internal Controls - Management (52177)

People & Dates

Partner

Jimenez Emma

Pursuit Leader

Bernard Joshua

Open Date

Feb 13, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

May 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Modernized Quality Assurance Extension - Renewal

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

57.3%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$84,115

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.536
Service sub-line track record
-0.450
Opportunity region track record
+0.257

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

57.3%

Model A: Planning

36.7%

Model B: Early Signal

12.9%

Stated Probability

30%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

36.7%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.181
Service sub-line track record
-0.892
Lead sales credit %
-0.773

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (37%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

12.9%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.702
Service sub-line track record
-0.582
Deal size
-0.533

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (13%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.