End-to-End Finance Scale-Up (Revised)
ID: 8554937-10
Potential Value
$100,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
359
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Risk´
Competency
Third Party Risk Management
Global Service Code
Cybersecurity Operations (83814)
Partner
Jimenez Emma
Pursuit Leader
Bernard Joshua
Open Date
May 19, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 31, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
End-to-End Finance Scale-Up (Revised)
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
54.8%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$16,414
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
54.8%
Model A: Planning
30.0%
Model B: Early Signal
9.7%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
30.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (30%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
9.7%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (10%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), currency (usd vs other), sub-sector track record.