IdentifyOver 90 Days

Critical ERP Implementation Framework (Revised)

ID: 5362900-30

Potential Value

$5,000,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

142

Client & Account

Client

Horizon Compliance Consortium

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Powell Kevin

Pursuit Leader

Gomez Brittany

Open Date

Dec 22, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Jul 2, 2027

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Critical ERP Implementation Framework (Revised)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

24.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$176,967

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.680
Service sub-line track record
-0.469
Deal size (log scale)
-0.330

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

24.6%

Model A: Planning

14.4%

Model B: Early Signal

3.7%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

14.4%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.408
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.182
Lead sales credit %
-0.652

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (14%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

3.7%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.869
Service sub-line track record
-0.574
Deal size
-0.488

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (4%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.