PursueOver 90 Days

Optimized Performance Management Enhancement (Revised)

ID: 9036263-10

Potential Value

$101,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

75%

Days in Pipeline

232

Client & Account

Client

Lion Government Solutions

City

Washington

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Tax

Field of Play

Tax

Opportunity Sub-SL

BTS

Competency

BTS - Private Tax

Global Service Code

Grant Management - Operations (40345)

People & Dates

Partner

Walker Lars

Pursuit Leader

Robinson Christine

Open Date

Sep 23, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Jan 31, 2028

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Optimized Performance Management Enhancement (Revised)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

86.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$76,332

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.680
Service sub-line track record
+0.426
Opportunity business unit
+0.408

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

86.6%

Model A: Planning

87.3%

Model B: Early Signal

76.6%

Stated Probability

75%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

87.3%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.285
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.224
Deal age (days since open)
-1.029

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (87%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

76.6%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.908
Market segment
-0.556
Account business unit
-0.475

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (77%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: market segment, account business unit.