PursueOver 90 Days

Advanced Internal Audit Consolidation

ID: 9079723-40

Potential Value

$93,500

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

75%

Days in Pipeline

677

Client & Account

Client

Lion Government Solutions

City

Washington

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Tax

Field of Play

Tax

Opportunity Sub-SL

BTS

Competency

BTS - Private Tax

Global Service Code

Grant Management - Operations (40345)

People & Dates

Partner

Walker Lars

Pursuit Leader

Robinson Christine

Open Date

Jul 5, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Jan 31, 2027

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Advanced Internal Audit Consolidation

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

88.4%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$75,844

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.699
Service sub-line track record
+0.444
Opportunity business unit
+0.408

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

88.4%

Model A: Planning

91.7%

Model B: Early Signal

81.8%

Stated Probability

75%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

91.7%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.066
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.943
Lead sales credit %
-0.915

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (92%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

81.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.808
Market segment
-0.550
Account business unit
-0.475

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (82%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: market segment, account business unit.