Adaptive Technology Modernization Redesign
ID: 7974989-40
Potential Value
$900,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
161
Service Line
Tax
Field of Play
Tax
Opportunity Sub-SL
BTS
Competency
BTS - BTA
Global Service Code
Workforce Development (31835)
Partner
Ortiz Alejandro
Pursuit Leader
Davis Patricia
Open Date
Dec 3, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Jul 31, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Adaptive Technology Modernization Redesign
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
76.2%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$95,788
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
76.2%
Model A: Planning
14.0%
Model B: Early Signal
3.5%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
14.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (14%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, deal size.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
3.5%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (3%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, deal size.