Identify30-60 Days

Extended Performance Management Deployment

ID: 2993377-40

Potential Value

$10,000,000

Deal Value

$10,000,000

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

126

Client & Account

Client

Pioneer Enterprises

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Assurance

Field of Play

Risk

Opportunity Sub-SL

Forensics

Competency

Incident Response & Resilience

Global Service Code

Mediation Services (94774)

People & Dates

Partner

Taylor Marcel

Pursuit Leader

Jenkins Kathleen

Open Date

Jan 7, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

May 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Extended Performance Management Deployment

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

64.3%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$571,914

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.671
Service sub-line track record
-0.399
Opportunity business unit
+0.383

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

64.3%

Model A: Planning

8.9%

Model B: Early Signal

2.2%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

8.9%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.292
Service sub-line track record
-1.098
Deal size vs service line median
-0.795

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (9%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size vs service line median.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

2.2%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.835
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.821
Deal size vs service line median
-0.729

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (2%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median.