Intelligent Supply Chain Pilot - Phase 3
ID: 7426620-20
Potential Value
$5,000,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
25%
Days in Pipeline
574
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Technology
Opportunity Sub-SL
Technology
Competency
Enterprise IT Transformation
Global Service Code
TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)
Partner
Collins Catherine
Pursuit Leader
Martin Angela
Open Date
Oct 16, 2024
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 2, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Intelligent Supply Chain Pilot - Phase 3
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
26.3%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$575,926
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
26.3%
Model A: Planning
43.8%
Model B: Early Signal
4.4%
Stated Probability
25%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
43.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (44%). Factors working in favor: deal age (days since open). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
4.4%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (4%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.