IdentifyOver 90 Days

Innovative Finance Diagnostic - Pilot

ID: 5644436-30

Potential Value

$10,000,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

390

Client & Account

Client

Zenith Logistics

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

AI and Data Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Intelligent Analytics Platform (20383)

People & Dates

Partner

Schäfer Linda

Pursuit Leader

Young Denise

Open Date

Apr 18, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Jul 1, 2029

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Innovative Finance Diagnostic - Pilot

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

31.9%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$1,629,579

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.617
Service sub-line track record
-0.504
Opportunity business unit
+0.299

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

31.9%

Model A: Planning

51.0%

Model B: Early Signal

29.0%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

51.0%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.928
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.373
Lead sales credit %
-0.682

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (51%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

29.0%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.096
Deal size vs service line median
-0.736
Service sub-line track record
-0.485

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (29%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.