Dynamic Cost Optimization Platform (Revised)
ID: 3308388-10
Potential Value
$1
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
121
Client
Pathfinder Government Development
Account
Emerald Digital Foundation
City
Houston
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Organization & People
Opportunity Sub-SL
Organization & People
Competency
People Experience
Global Service Code
Integration Planning (47165)
Partner
Joshi Carolyn
Pursuit Leader
Ruiz Raymond
Open Date
Jan 12, 2026
Anticipated Win Date
Apr 12, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Dynamic Cost Optimization Platform (Revised)
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
76.1%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$0
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
76.1%
Model A: Planning
12.7%
Model B: Early Signal
17.6%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
12.7%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (13%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, deal age (days since open), brand new pursuit (vs renewal).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
17.6%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (18%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), market segment.