Identify30-60 Days

Core Compliance Pilot

ID: 2262863-50

Potential Value

$2,500,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

482

Client & Account

Client

Federal Regulatory Network

City

San Francisco

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Hoffmann Lori

Pursuit Leader

Ross Natalie

Open Date

Jan 16, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

May 29, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Core Compliance Pilot

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

23.2%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$116,155

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.637
Service sub-line track record
-0.484
Deal size (log scale)
-0.398

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

23.2%

Model A: Planning

20.1%

Model B: Early Signal

5.0%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

20.1%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.971
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.996
Lead sales credit %
-0.668

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (20%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

5.0%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.872
Service sub-line track record
-0.654
Deal size
-0.544

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (5%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.