Digital Tax Reform Phase I
ID: 4994407-40
Potential Value
$200,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
400
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Finance
Opportunity Sub-SL
Finance´
Competency
Business Planning, Reporting & Analytics
Global Service Code
Internal Controls - Management (52177)
Partner
Ortiz Alejandro
Pursuit Leader
Hoffmann Ingrid
Open Date
Apr 8, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
May 29, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Digital Tax Reform Phase I
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
50.3%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$41,933
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
50.3%
Model A: Planning
41.6%
Model B: Early Signal
9.4%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
41.6%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (42%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
9.4%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (9%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, currency (usd vs other).