ClosingWithin 30 Days

Accelerated Finance Architecture - FY26

ID: 1013727-40

Potential Value

$1

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

121

Client & Account

Client

Pathfinder Government Development

City

Houston

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Tax

Field of Play

Organization & People

Opportunity Sub-SL

PAS - Tax

Competency

PAS - Reward and People Transactions

Global Service Code

Health & Safety Review (81624)

People & Dates

Partner

Joshi Carolyn

Pursuit Leader

Ruiz Raymond

Open Date

Jan 12, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 12, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Accelerated Finance Architecture - FY26

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

72.9%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$0

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.727
Opportunity business unit
+0.561
Market segment
-0.476

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

72.9%

Model A: Planning

34.7%

Model B: Early Signal

30.4%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

34.7%

Key Drivers

Deal age (days since open)
-1.016
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.005
Lead sales credit %
-0.738

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (35%). Factors working against: deal age (days since open), brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

30.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.578
Sub-sector track record
-0.508
Market segment
-0.410

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (30%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), sub-sector track record, market segment.