Adaptive Supply Chain Pilot (Amended)
ID: 5040696-30
Potential Value
$500,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
159
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Technology
Opportunity Sub-SL
Technology
Competency
AI and Data Transformation
Global Service Code
TEC-Intelligent Analytics Platform (20383)
Partner
Schäfer Linda
Pursuit Leader
Young Denise
Open Date
Dec 5, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Apr 24, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Adaptive Supply Chain Pilot (Amended)
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
37.3%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$59,555
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
37.3%
Model A: Planning
31.9%
Model B: Early Signal
7.8%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
31.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (32%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, service sub-line track record.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
7.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (8%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.