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Optimized Cloud Migration Pilot

ID: 7626707-50

Potential Value

$400,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

189

Client & Account

Client

Lunar Group

City

Chicago

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Clark Pablo

Pursuit Leader

Leroy Scott

Open Date

Nov 5, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 2, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Optimized Cloud Migration Pilot

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

55.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$141,843

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.656
Service sub-line track record
-0.317
Opportunity business unit
+0.268

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

55.6%

Model A: Planning

63.8%

Model B: Early Signal

15.1%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

63.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.062
Service sub-line track record
-0.822
Time in current pipeline stage
+0.807

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (64%). Factors working in favor: time in current pipeline stage. Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

15.1%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.782
Service sub-line track record
-0.676
Deal size
-0.566

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (15%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.