Predictive Cost Optimization Analysis - FY26
ID: 8095817-10
Potential Value
$65,414
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
50%
Days in Pipeline
301
Client
Cornerstone Municipal Enterprises
Account
Frontier Operational Systems
City
San Francisco
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Risk´
Competency
Internal Audit Transformation
Global Service Code
Environmental Compliance - Operations (63233)
Partner
Brooks Theresa
Pursuit Leader
Peterson Akira
Open Date
Jul 16, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 2, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Predictive Cost Optimization Analysis - FY26
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
49.5%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$18,402
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
49.5%
Model A: Planning
56.8%
Model B: Early Signal
16.8%
Stated Probability
50%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
56.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (57%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, deal age (days since open).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
16.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (17%). Factors working against: currency (usd vs other), brand new pursuit (vs renewal), sub-sector track record.