Identify60-90 Days

Holistic Risk Management Phase II - FY25

ID: 7191197-40

Potential Value

$250,000

Deal Value

$4,500,000

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

142

Client & Account

Client

Pioneer Regional Solutions

City

Atlanta

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

AI and Data Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Intelligent Analytics Platform (20383)

People & Dates

Partner

Meyer Brenda

Pursuit Leader

Ruiz Samuel

Open Date

Dec 22, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Jun 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Holistic Risk Management Phase II - FY25

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

23.0%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$20,068

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.657
Work type
+0.509
Account track record
-0.466

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

23.0%

Model A: Planning

34.8%

Model B: Early Signal

10.6%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

34.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.240
Lead sales credit %
-0.670
Service sub-line track record
-0.666

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (35%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, service sub-line track record.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

10.6%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.864
Service sub-line track record
-0.521
Deal size
-0.355

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (11%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.