Holistic Cost Optimization Program
ID: 2202219-50
Potential Value
$4,037,702
Deal Value
$4,037,702
Stated Probability
25%
Days in Pipeline
96
Client
Pathfinder Government Development
Account
Emerald Digital Foundation
City
Houston
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
SaT
Field of Play
Transactions
Opportunity Sub-SL
Strategy and Execution
Competency
S&E - Sell & Separate
Global Service Code
Process Reengineering (76157)
Partner
Hall Feng
Pursuit Leader
Leroy Andrew
Open Date
Feb 6, 2026
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 31, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Holistic Cost Optimization Program
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
55.8%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$262,741
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
55.8%
Model A: Planning
11.7%
Model B: Early Signal
2.2%
Stated Probability
25%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
11.7%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (12%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
2.2%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (2%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.