Critical Compliance Phase II - Renewal
ID: 4993923-50
Potential Value
$125,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
350
Client
Legacy Aerospace Worldwide
Account
Beta Infrastructure Holdings
City
Philadelphia
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
SaT
Field of Play
Strategy & Transformation
Opportunity Sub-SL
Transactions & Corporate Finance
Competency
TCF - Reimagine Reshape & Grow
Global Service Code
Identity Management - Compliance (62617)
Partner
Powell Marcel
Pursuit Leader
Adams Yuki
Open Date
May 28, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 31, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Critical Compliance Phase II - Renewal
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
71.1%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$47,148
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
71.1%
Model A: Planning
53.0%
Model B: Early Signal
10.5%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
53.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (53%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, service sub-line track record.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
10.5%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (11%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), sub-sector track record, service sub-line track record.