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Strategic Workforce Planning Roadmap - Phase 3

ID: 4436643-20

Potential Value

$5,000,000

Deal Value

$10,000,000

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

223

Client & Account

Client

Crimson Operational Solutions

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Collins Mark

Pursuit Leader

Johnson Carlos

Open Date

Oct 2, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Strategic Workforce Planning Roadmap - Phase 3

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

10.3%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$174,539

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.724
Work type
+0.512
Account track record
-0.454

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

10.3%

Model A: Planning

34.0%

Model B: Early Signal

4.2%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

34.0%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.367
Lead sales credit %
-0.678
Service sub-line track record
-0.576

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (34%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, service sub-line track record.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

4.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.978
Service sub-line track record
-0.535
Deal size vs service line median
-0.477

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (4%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size vs service line median.