Adaptive Tax Reform Transformation
ID: 3003429-20
Potential Value
$45,000
Deal Value
$60,000
Stated Probability
90%
Days in Pipeline
145
Client
Crimson Operational Solutions
City
Dallas
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
FED
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Technology
Opportunity Sub-SL
Technology
Competency
Enterprise IT Transformation
Global Service Code
TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)
Partner
Wright William
Pursuit Leader
Wagner Brenda
Open Date
Dec 19, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Feb 27, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Adaptive Tax Reform Transformation
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
52.2%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$23,147
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
52.2%
Model A: Planning
98.6%
Model B: Early Signal
92.6%
Stated Probability
90%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
98.6%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (99%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
92.6%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (93%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale, opportunitytype additional sales opportunity.