PursueOver 90 Days

Holistic Performance Management Scale-Up (Revised)

ID: 9745632-30

Potential Value

$0

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

728

Client & Account

Client

Crimson Operational Solutions

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Yang Marie

Pursuit Leader

Wagner Brenda

Open Date

May 15, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Dec 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Holistic Performance Management Scale-Up (Revised)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

23.2%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$0

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.676
Work type
+0.517
Account track record
-0.365

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

23.2%

Model A: Planning

85.4%

Model B: Early Signal

53.8%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

85.4%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.467
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.140
Lead sales credit %
-0.818

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (85%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

53.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.975
Service sub-line track record
-0.422
Market segment
-0.362

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (54%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, market segment.