Adaptive Finance Deployment
ID: 2639233-10
Potential Value
$60,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
30%
Days in Pipeline
99
Client
Cardinal Pharmaceutical Commission
Account
Frontier Operational Systems
City
San Francisco
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
SaT
Field of Play
Strategy & Transformation
Opportunity Sub-SL
Transactions & Corporate Finance
Competency
TCF - Reimagine Reshape & Grow
Global Service Code
Regulatory Compliance (61122)
Partner
Young Jean
Pursuit Leader
Kumar Julie
Open Date
Feb 3, 2026
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 2, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Adaptive Finance Deployment
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
67.7%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$17,068
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
67.7%
Model A: Planning
42.0%
Model B: Early Signal
16.0%
Stated Probability
30%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
42.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (42%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, currency (usd vs other).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
16.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (16%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), currency (usd vs other), sub-sector track record.