IdentifyOver 90 Days

High-Impact Revenue Assurance Deployment

ID: 8613177-20

Potential Value

$33,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

789

Client & Account

Client

Aurora Defense Board

City

Chicago

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Tax

Opportunity Sub-SL

ITTS (in SaT)

Competency

ITTS Advisory (in SaT)

Global Service Code

Logistics Planning (40410)

People & Dates

Partner

Meyer Olivier

Pursuit Leader

Wang Evelyn

Open Date

Mar 15, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Sep 18, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

High-Impact Revenue Assurance Deployment

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

72.0%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$19,680

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.719
Opportunity business unit
+0.625
Service sub-line track record
+0.490

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

72.0%

Model A: Planning

82.8%

Model B: Early Signal

71.2%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

82.8%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.898
Market segment
-1.177
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.944

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (83%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, market segment.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

71.2%

Key Drivers

Account business unit
-0.808
Market segment
-0.745
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.731

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (71%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: account business unit, market segment.