IdentifyWithin 30 Days

Agile Governance Engagement - Phase 3

ID: 3818228-20

Potential Value

$50,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

398

Client & Account

Client

Atlantic Pharmaceutical Cooperative

City

New York

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy and Execution

Competency

S&E - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Healthcare Strategy (58866)

People & Dates

Partner

Johnson Miguel

Pursuit Leader

Lee Emma

Open Date

Apr 10, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Agile Governance Engagement - Phase 3

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

65.3%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$13,349

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.613
Service sub-line track record
-0.494
Opportunity business unit
+0.475

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

65.3%

Model A: Planning

40.9%

Model B: Early Signal

8.6%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

40.9%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.022
Lead sales credit %
-0.834
Time in current pipeline stage
-0.696

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (41%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, time in current pipeline stage.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

8.6%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.704
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.699
Sub-sector track record
-0.533

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (9%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), sub-sector track record.