Enhanced Operations Phase II - Phase 3
ID: 3957032-40
Potential Value
$4,176,541
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
75%
Days in Pipeline
238
Client
Crimson Operational Solutions
City
Dallas
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
FED
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Supply Chain & Operations
Opportunity Sub-SL
Supply Chain & Operations´
Competency
Procurement Transformation
Global Service Code
Sales Enablement (62325)
Partner
Wright William
Pursuit Leader
Ward Katherine
Open Date
Sep 17, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Dec 3, 2029
Close Date
N/A
Description
Enhanced Operations Phase II - Phase 3
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
85.5%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$3,215,690
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
85.5%
Model A: Planning
90.0%
Model B: Early Signal
83.2%
Stated Probability
75%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
90.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (90%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
83.2%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (83%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: market segment, service sub-line track record.