ClosingPast Due

Predictive Quality Assurance Scale-Up - FY26

ID: 4274812-50

Potential Value

$500,006

Deal Value

$500,006

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

99

Client & Account

Client

Heritage Resources

City

Boston

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Assurance

Field of Play

Risk

Opportunity Sub-SL

Forensics

Competency

Integrity & Compliance

Global Service Code

Application Modernization (95222)

People & Dates

Partner

Taylor Marcel

Pursuit Leader

Zhang Daniel

Open Date

Feb 3, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Predictive Quality Assurance Scale-Up - FY26

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

56.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$37,709

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.649
Service sub-line track record
-0.476
Opportunity business unit
+0.415

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

56.6%

Model A: Planning

13.3%

Model B: Early Signal

2.7%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

13.3%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.135
Service sub-line track record
-1.047
Deal size
-0.781

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (13%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

2.7%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.855
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.775
Deal size
-0.595

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (3%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size.