Resilient Program Management Renewal
ID: 2796982-30
Potential Value
$272,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
25%
Days in Pipeline
336
Service Line
Assurance
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Forensics
Competency
Incident Response & Resilience
Global Service Code
Mediation Services (94774)
Partner
Taylor Betty
Pursuit Leader
Alvarez Isabella
Open Date
Jun 11, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 2, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Resilient Program Management Renewal
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
61.7%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$45,368
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
61.7%
Model A: Planning
27.0%
Model B: Early Signal
8.4%
Stated Probability
25%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
27.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (27%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
8.4%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (8%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size.