IdentifyPast Due

Dynamic Operations Review - Phase 2

ID: 3109811-10

Potential Value

$272,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

336

Client & Account

Client

Cedar Public Consulting

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Tax

Field of Play

Tax

Opportunity Sub-SL

Indirect

Competency

Indirect Tax - Core

Global Service Code

Contract Management - Transformation (54498)

People & Dates

Partner

Taylor Betty

Pursuit Leader

Alvarez Isabella

Open Date

Jun 11, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 2, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Dynamic Operations Review - Phase 2

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

75.0%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$76,378

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.643
Opportunity business unit
+0.524
Deal size vs service line median
+0.224

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

75.0%

Model A: Planning

37.4%

Model B: Early Signal

3.8%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

37.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.197
Lead sales credit %
-0.743
Time in current pipeline stage
-0.695

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (37%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, time in current pipeline stage.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

3.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.891
Service sub-line track record
-0.768
Deal size
-0.574

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (4%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.