Optimized Risk Management Workshop - Pilot
ID: 8008073-30
Potential Value
$272,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
25%
Days in Pipeline
336
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Risk´
Competency
Sustainability Risk Transformation
Global Service Code
Insolvency Support (84416)
Partner
Taylor Betty
Pursuit Leader
Alvarez Isabella
Open Date
Jun 11, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 2, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Optimized Risk Management Workshop - Pilot
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
41.8%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$43,043
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
41.8%
Model A: Planning
37.8%
Model B: Early Signal
12.3%
Stated Probability
25%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
37.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (38%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
12.3%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (12%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), currency (usd vs other), service sub-line track record.