IdentifyOver 90 Days

High-Impact Tax Reform Deployment

ID: 8811186-40

Potential Value

$250,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

103

Client & Account

Client

Aurora Defense Board

City

Chicago

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Assurance

Field of Play

Legal & Investigations

Opportunity Sub-SL

Forensics

Competency

Investigations

Global Service Code

Revenue Optimization (67509)

People & Dates

Partner

Wang Andrea

Pursuit Leader

Sharma Julie

Open Date

Jan 30, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

Aug 28, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

High-Impact Tax Reform Deployment

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

50.9%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$22,112

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.626
Service sub-line track record
-0.477
Opportunity business unit
+0.443

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

50.9%

Model A: Planning

17.4%

Model B: Early Signal

8.6%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

17.4%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-1.260
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.135
Deal age (days since open)
-0.752

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (17%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

8.6%

Key Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.791
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.727
Deal size
-0.414

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (9%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size.