Extended Supply Chain Review
ID: 9144337-20
Potential Value
$272,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
25%
Days in Pipeline
336
Service Line
Assurance
Field of Play
Sustainability
Opportunity Sub-SL
CCaSS
Competency
CCaSS - ESG and Sustainability
Global Service Code
Budget Advisory - CorpFin (98734)
Partner
Taylor Betty
Pursuit Leader
Alvarez Isabella
Open Date
Jun 11, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 2, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Extended Supply Chain Review
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
78.5%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$37,637
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
78.5%
Model A: Planning
17.6%
Model B: Early Signal
5.0%
Stated Probability
25%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
17.6%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (18%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), time in current pipeline stage.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
5.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (5%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size.