Identify30-60 Days

Comprehensive Finance Review

ID: 5737223-50

Potential Value

$450,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

75%

Days in Pipeline

239

Client & Account

Client

Optima Research Associates

City

Chicago

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Tax

Field of Play

Tax

Opportunity Sub-SL

Indirect

Competency

Indirect Tax - Core

Global Service Code

Platform Engineering (89490)

People & Dates

Partner

Herrera Jessica

Pursuit Leader

Brooks Jacob

Open Date

Sep 16, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

May 29, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Comprehensive Finance Review

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

82.2%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$330,862

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.739
Opportunity business unit
+0.388
Renewal pursuit
+0.381

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

82.2%

Model A: Planning

89.5%

Model B: Early Signal

68.2%

Stated Probability

75%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

89.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.417
Lead sales credit %
-0.856
Deal age (days since open)
-0.689

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (89%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: lead sales credit %, deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

68.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.108
Service sub-line track record
-0.584
Deal size
-0.542

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (68%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, deal size.