ClosingPast Due

Critical Customer Experience Enhancement - FY25

ID: 7032113-50

Potential Value

$576,030

Deal Value

$576,030

Stated Probability

100%

Days in Pipeline

177

Client & Account

Client

Fusion Aerospace Commission

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Assurance

Field of Play

Audit & Governance

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology Risk

Competency

Technology Risk

Global Service Code

Grant Management (72357)

People & Dates

Partner

Suzuki Michelle

Pursuit Leader

Long Jean-Paul

Open Date

Nov 17, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 26, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Critical Customer Experience Enhancement - FY25

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

85.3%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$431,650

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.658
Opportunity business unit
+0.470
Service sub-line track record
+0.438

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

85.3%

Model A: Planning

87.9%

Model B: Early Signal

53.1%

Stated Probability

100%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

87.9%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.487
Lead sales credit %
-0.823
Deal age (days since open)
-0.719

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (88%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: lead sales credit %, deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

53.1%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.029
Service sub-line track record
-0.598
Renewal pursuit
+0.477

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (53%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), renewal pursuit. Factors working against: service sub-line track record.